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Market cap is a multiplication, not a measure of money

Market cap is price multiplied by circulating supply. Why it is not the amount invested, and why fully diluted valuation changes the picture.

Formula Last price multiplied by circulating supply
Assumes That every unit could trade at the latest marginal price
Fully diluted Uses maximum supply, including unissued tokens

FBT Swap

What you should know

Market capitalisation is the last traded price multiplied by circulating supply. It is widely used for ranking and widely misread as the amount of money in an asset.

It is not. The last price reflects the marginal trade, and multiplying it by every unit in existence assumes all of them could be sold at that price, which is never true.

What the multiplication assumes

That the price of the last small trade applies to the entire supply. For a liquid asset the error is modest; for a thin one it is enormous, because selling even a fraction of the supply would move the price dramatically.

This is why a token can have a large headline capitalisation and almost no depth. The two numbers are unrelated.

Circulating versus total versus fully diluted

Circulating supply excludes locked, vested and unissued tokens. Total supply counts everything issued. Fully diluted valuation uses maximum supply, which includes tokens that do not yet exist.

A low circulating supply with a large future unlock schedule means the current capitalisation understates future dilution, and that schedule is public information worth reading.

Why rankings mislead

Two assets with the same capitalisation can differ by orders of magnitude in liquidity, holder distribution and how much of the supply is genuinely tradeable. Ranking by capitalisation treats them as comparable.

A better quick comparison is depth at your size, plus the unlock schedule.

Burned supply complicates it further. Tokens sent to an unspendable address are gone in practice but may still be counted depending on the methodology, which is one reason the same asset can rank differently on two sites without either of them making an error.

Using it for what it is good at

Rough scale comparison between established assets, and tracking how an asset's relative position changes over time. Not for estimating how much could be realised, and not for judging whether something is cheap.

FBT Swap shows market data with its source and never presents a valuation as a judgement about value.

At a glance

At a glance

Formula

Last price multiplied by circulating supply

Assumes

That every unit could trade at the latest marginal price

Fully diluted

Uses maximum supply, including unissued tokens

Better question

Depth at your size, and what unlocks when

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Clear answers before you decide.

Does market cap show how much money entered an asset?

No. A small amount of buying in a thin market can create a very large capitalisation, because the multiplication applies the marginal price to the entire supply.

Is a low market cap a sign of opportunity?

It indicates scale, not value. Many low-capitalisation assets are small because of limited demand, and the same thinness that allows rapid rises allows rapid falls.

Why do sites report different figures?

Mainly different definitions of circulating supply — which locked, team-held or burned tokens are excluded. The methodology is usually published and is worth checking.

Risk notice

Crypto assets are volatile and on-chain transactions cannot be reversed. You can lose money, including all of it. Nothing here is financial advice.